The Practice of Scenario-based planning - The practitioner's art
10 important questions on The Practice of Scenario-based planning - The practitioner's art
What are the characteristics of a scenario project?
- Internal issue or area of policy, where the project needs to provide new illumination.
- Number of scenarios will describe the multiple possible futures of the external business environment around this issue.
Why is it important to have the main issues clear as fast as possible
- The Scenarioplanners need to select the appropriate methodology.
- Have external as well as internal people involved in the discussion --> foster "out- of- the- box- thinking"
- Maybe a trendbreak will happen?!
Which kind of SP purposes do we have?
- Sense-making purpose
- Strategising purpose
- Anticipation building purpose
- Organisational learning
- Higher grades + faster learning
- Never study anything twice
- 100% sure, 100% understanding
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What is sense-making purpose?
A one time exploratory question-raising scenario project
This would be indicated for an organisation that has entered choppy waters, and finds it difficult to articulate what the business environment requires.
What is strategising purpose?
A one time decision-making scenario project.
This is indicated for an organisation that is facing a major decision of a strategic nature, where uncertainty muddles the decision-making process.
What is anticipation building purpose?
An ongoing exploratory scenario activity
This is indicated for an organisation that has been caught out too often misjudging what is going to happen in its environment, and needs to sharpen up. The primary job here is to find the important questions we neet to consider in an ongoing strategic conversation with the market.
What is organisational learning?
An ongoing decision-making activity.
This is indicated for the organisation living in a fast-moving environment, or where strategy comes in the form of relatively big chunks of resource commitment. The task here is to see and understand and, on the basis of that, get the organisation to move and gain the high ground.
Which tools are being used by starting the conversation in a company?
- Individual or group brainstorming
- SWOT workshop
- Individual interviews, group feedback.
What are the 4 advantages of interviews and feedback?
- Managers order their thoughts
- The ordered database is a framework for important strategic issues
- The manager becomes more aware of the diversity and different views within the team--> extra digger to articulate ideas.
- A feeling of solidarity is growing.
What is the content of the SWOT-workshop?
- Explanation,
- Brainstorming,
- Arrangement.
- Every participant writes down the SWOT etc of the org.
- The facilitator divides these four flipovers into: S,W,O,T.
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- 100% sure, 100% understanding
