Mapping the future - The Process of Developing Scenarios Schoemaker, 1995
11 important questions on Mapping the future - The Process of Developing Scenarios Schoemaker, 1995
There are 10 steps that can be distinguished when it comes to building a scenario. What 10 steps are these, in short?
- Define the scope (scope the scenarios)
- Map the stakeholders
- Identify basic trends
- Identify key uncertainties
- Construct initial scenario themes
- Check for inconsistency and plausibility
- Develop learning scenarios
- Identify research needs
- Quantify where possible
- Evolve towards decision scenarios - interactive process
How can you define the scope, in other words, scope the scenarios?
Why map the stakeholders?
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When you are identifying basic trends that will effect the issues (and thus scenarios have to be based on them) identified in step 1, what should you think of?
What is the difference between he basic trends and the key uncertainties?
When it comes to key uncertainties, what is referred to?
What are the trends that you should take into consideration for Cowen Pharmaceuticals?
Why is it necessary to check for inconsistency and plausibility?
Step 7, which is Develop learning scenarios, evolves around choosing certain scenarios from the options that you have created, what does this step ask you to do?
What does step 9, Quantify where possible, refer to?
Step 10, evolve toward decision scenarios, is an iterative process. What is supposed to happen in this step?
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